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The IMF and the Asian Economic Crisis
The National Center for Policy Analysis, November 1, 2002.
Although the Asian financial crisis is over, countries like
Indonesia will feel its effects for years. Unfortunately, critics
say, the policies imposed by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) during this tumultuous time worsened the situation --
causing exactly the consequences that have brought globalization
under attack.
There is little doubt that IMF and U.S. Treasury policies
contributed to an environment that enhanced the likelihood
of a crisis by encouraging -- in some cases insisting on
-- rapid financial and capital-market liberalization.
The IMF misdiagnosed conditions in East Asia, failing to
realize the problem was not excess demand for goods and
services, but insufficient demand -- thus dampening demand
could only make matters worse.
Second, if firms have a low level of indebtedness, high
interest rates can be absorbed -- but with high levels of
indebtedness, imposing high interest rates is like signing
a death warrant for many firms -- and for the economy.
The failure of the IMF to recognize the important interactions
among the policies pursued in the different countries was hard to
fathom, analysts say. By continuing to advocate contradictory
policies, the IMF exacerbated the spread of the downturn from one
country to the next.
IMF critics offer the following suggestions for handling the
crisis:
Maintain the flow of finance and halt existing debt
repayment.
Create a special bankruptcy provision that would allow for
a relatively quick reorganization of a firm, rather than
liquidation.
Strong intervention of the government aimed at financial
restructuring - establishing clear ownership of firms,
enabling them to re-enter credit markets.
The way the IMF approached the crises has left a legacy of
private and public debt, critics conclude.
Source: Joseph Stiglitz, "Globalization and Its Discontents,"
book excerpt, "On Globalization," Milken Institute Review, Third
Quarter, 2002.
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