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Turkey Promises to Meet Strict IMF Targets
AGENCY MATERIAL and INTERNATIONAL STAFF
This selection first appeared in the Financial Times on 23 December 2000.
Turkey has promised the International Monetary Fund that it will meet a
number of stringent economic targets as part of a deal that gives it
US$7.5bn to help the country get over a banking crisis.
In a letter of intent published yesterday, the government promised to speed
up the sale of state-owned assets and clean up its banks, and commits itself
to strict fiscal discipline and an exchange rate policy aimed at squeezing
inflation out.
Its promise to maintain its policy of a depreciating exchange rate worries
many analysts. Moody's Investors Services suggested recently that Turkey's
banking crisis would force faster depreciation and wider trading bands.
Turkey promised it would maintain pre-announced exchange rates in the first
half of 2001 and gradually widen trading bands for the lira in the second
half of 2001.
Lira depreciation is now 1 percent monthly, planned to fall to 0.9 percent
in the first quarter of 2001, and 0.85 percent in the second quarter. The
fluctuation band is seen at 7.5 percent at end-2001, 15 percent at end-June
2001 and 22.5 percent at end-2002.
Turkey also promised the IMF that it will trim the budget of its powerful
military. But the generals, who have promised support for efforts to slash
inflation, also have plans to spend billions of dollars on new equipment.
The letter of intent also reveals that Turkey will announce 29 power plant
projects worth about US$1.5bn this month. The projects would be carried out
under the build-operate-transfer model and be the last ones guaranteed by
the treasury provided they are commissioned by end-2002. The measure is
intended to relieve the state of the burden of backing expensive energy
projects.
Privatisation receipts in 2001 are expected to double from the US$3.5bn
likely this year.
The target for real gross national product growth in 2001 is 4-4.5 percent,
accelerating to 5-6 percent in 2002.
In a statement released by the French finance ministry as president of the
Ecofin Council, euro-zone finance ministers lent their support to Turkey
yesterday saying they welcomed the programme of economic reforms.
Copyright: The Financial Times Limited
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